Week 5 live

Week 5 picks are up

An AI pick for every NFL game — side or total, line, confidence and the reasoning — published before kickoff and graded in public after: win rate, profit and ROI by week, by bet type and by confidence band. Safe, Value and Longshot parlays each Friday. Nothing is quietly dropped.

See Week 5 picks

Week 5 pick board

5 of 15 picks

Latest desk state · 15 games reviewed · no calls changed

Oct 9, 6:00 AM EDT

  • Dallas Cowboys -9.5

    Spreadline -9.5 · -105

    Conf58%
    LockedAt Oct 8, 8:15 PM EDT

    Tampa Bay BuccaneersDallas CowboysThu 8:15 PM ET

  • Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5

    Spreadline -6.5 · -115

    Conf58%
    ReviewedPick and confidence unchangedOct 8, 6:01 AM EDT

    Philadelphia EaglesJacksonville JaguarsSun 9:30 AM ET

  • Minnesota Vikings -1.5

    Spreadline -1.5 · -110

    Conf58%
    ReviewedPick and confidence unchangedOct 8, 6:00 AM EDT

    Minnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsSun 1:00 PM ET

  • Pittsburgh Steelers ML

    ML-135

    Conf58%
    ReviewedPick and confidence unchangedOct 9, 6:00 AM EDT

    Indianapolis ColtsPittsburgh SteelersSun 1:00 PM ET

  • Detroit Lions -4.5

    Spreadline -4.5 · -105

    Conf58%
    InitialInitial call publishedOct 6, 9:05 AM EDT

    Detroit LionsArizona CardinalsSun 4:25 PM ET

Full Week 5 boardAll 15 picks, analysis and parlays

Latest prediction update

27 ledger events
  1. Reviewed — no changeOct 9, 6:00 AM EDT#1089
    New York Giants at Washington Commanders

    This is material because it reports availability/starting-role news for Commanders QB Jayden Daniels. Evidence is limited to the offensive coordinator's comment as provided; there is no official injury report, practice detail, or independent confirmation. No invented probabilities or betting edge are added. Pick and confidence stayed at the recorded baseline.

    Evidence:ESPN · Oct 8, 2026, 12:56 PM EDT

Prediction-impact news

11 reviewed sources
  • Reviewed · no changeReviewed Oct 9, 6:00 AM EDT

    Commanders OC David Blough said Jayden Daniels will be 'full go' and have no limitations Sunday against the Giants. The supplied pick remains New York Giants +3 with confidence 56.

    Review: This is material because it reports availability/starting-role news for Commanders QB Jayden Daniels. Evidence is limited to the offensive coordinator's comment as provided; there is no official injury report, practice detail, or independent confirmation. No invented probabilities or betting edge are added.

    Limit: Review uses the publisher headline and description only. No full-article or final-availability verification; no quantified betting edge.

  • Reviewed · no changeReviewed Oct 9, 6:00 AM EDT

    Steelers receiver Michael Pittman Jr. aggravated a foot injury and is out multiple weeks.

    Review: Material because it reports injury and availability news: Pittman Jr. is out multiple weeks for Pittsburgh. The supplied facts do not specify a replacement, severity beyond out multiple weeks, or a quantitative impact on team performance, so the Pittsburgh Steelers ML pick and confidence 58 are preserved. No betting edge or probability is inferred.

    Limit: Review uses the publisher headline and description only. No full-article or final-availability verification; no quantified betting edge.

  • Reviewed · no changeReviewed Oct 9, 6:00 AM EDT

    Broncos coach Sean Payton announced he is taking over offensive playcalling starting Sunday against the Chargers. The change is intended to spark a struggling offense. The existing pick remains Denver Broncos -3.5 at 56 confidence.

    Review: This is a starting-role and availability change at a key coaching position (playcaller), which can materially affect offensive performance and the outlook for the Broncos in Week 5 against the Chargers. No injury is reported, and the supplied data does not include a new probability or betting edge, so the original pick and confidence are preserved unchanged.

    Limit: Review uses the publisher headline and description only. No full-article or final-availability verification; no quantified betting edge.

Key players

0 material players

No player has a verified material link to a current pick.

Names appear only after a source review records the role, availability context and direction of model impact.

Last season, on the record

172-118-459.3% win rate

+$1,297.47 profit · +4.4% ROI on $29,400 risked

Every 2025 pick stayed on the sheet — wins, losses and all 4 pushes, graded to the cent with the same math the live season uses.

Raiders 2026 slate

7 home · 10 away · bye wk 13
  • 1vs Miami DolphinsSun Sep 13 · 4:25 p.m. ETFOX
  • 2@ Los Angeles ChargersSun Sep 20 · 4:05 p.m. ETCBS
  • 3@ New Orleans SaintsSun Sep 27 · 4:25 p.m. ETCBS
  • 4vs Kansas City ChiefsSun Oct 4 · 4:25 p.m. ETCBS
  • 5@ New England PatriotsSun Oct 11 · 1:00 p.m. ETCBS
  • 6vs Buffalo BillsSun Oct 18 · 4:25 p.m. ETCBS
  • 7vs Los Angeles RamsSun Oct 25 · 4:25 p.m. ETFOX
  • 8@ New York JetsSun Nov 1 · 1:00 p.m. ETFOX
  • 9@ San Francisco 49ersSun Nov 8 · 4:05 p.m. ETCBS
  • 10vs Seattle SeahawksSun Nov 15 · 4:05 p.m. ETCBS
  • 11@ Denver BroncosSun Nov 22 · 4:25 p.m. ETCBS
  • 12@ Cleveland BrownsSun Nov 29 · 1:00 p.m. ETFOX
  • 13Bye week
  • 14vs Los Angeles ChargersSun Dec 13 · 4:05 p.m. ETCBS
  • 15vs Denver BroncosSun Dec 20 · 4:25 p.m. ETCBS
  • 16@ Tennessee TitansSun Dec 27 · 4:05 p.m. ETFOX
  • 17@ Arizona CardinalsSun Jan 3 · 4:05 p.m. ETCBS
  • 18@ Kansas City ChiefsTBD TBD · TBDTBD

All times subject to NFL flexible scheduling. Week 18 date/time TBD.

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